Natural gas plays a central role in the American power grid, accounting for 43.1% of all utility-scale electricity generation and far outpacing coal (16.2%), nuclear (18.6%), and even the rapidly growing renewables sector (21.4%).
Let’s explore the current state of the country’s natural gas fleet, how it’s evolving, and what the future holds for gas-fired generation through the end of the decade.
Natural gas power plants generate electricity by burning fuel to create high-temperature gases or steam that spin a turbine. The turbine drives a generator, converting mechanical energy into electricity.
There are four primary types of natural gas plants in the US, each with its own design, efficiency profile, and operational role within the electric grid.
Typically, gas-fired units operate for 20 to 50 years, depending on the plant type.
Source: US Energy Information Administration, Electric Power Annual
Note: ST=steam turbine; CCGT=combined-cycle gas turbine; SCGT=simple-cycle gas turbine; ICE=internal combustion engine
CCGTs are the workhorses of the natural gas fleet, representing the majority of the country’s gas-fired generating capacity, as shown above. They operate in two stages:
This two-step process dramatically improves efficiency, enabling modern CCGT plants to reach thermal efficiencies of up to 60%, nearly double that of typical nuclear or coal plants. Higher efficiency also translates into lower emissions per megawatt-hour.
CCGTs are commonly used for baseload and intermediate loads. Their ability to ramp up or down quickly makes them ideal for balancing supply and demand fluctuations and ensuring grid reliability, which is critical as more intermittent renewable resources join the grid.
SCGTs combust natural gas to produce electricity but do not recover waste heat, resulting in lower thermal efficiencies, typically 33% to 43%.
Though they are less efficient and more costly to operate, SCGTs provide fast, dispatchable power within minutes. They are ideal “peaker” plants as they can meet sudden spikes in electricity demand – such as on hot summer afternoons when air-conditioning use is high.
In ST plants, natural gas burns in a boiler to produce steam that drives a turbine to generate electricity. Many ST plants were converted from coal-burning units as part of early decarbonization strategies. While these plants once provided baseload power, many older ST plants are being retired because, with efficiencies often as low as 20%, they lag behind modern SCGTs and CCGTs.
RICE plants use large piston-driven engines – similar to those found in vehicles – to generate electricity by burning natural gas.
Although they represent just 1% of total US gas-fired capacity, their fast start-up times and flexibility make them valuable for backup power, emergency support, and quick grid balancing, especially in systems with a high share of intermittent renewable energy. Single-cycle RICE plants have an efficiency rate of 50%, but when they are used as part of a cogeneration or combined cycle plant, those rates can reach 90%.
Whether powering major urban centers or backing up intermittent solar and wind resources, gas-fired plants are deeply embedded in the US power grid. As of April 2025, approximately 1,200 natural gas power plants operate across the country.
|
Region |
% Gas-Fired Capacity |
|
New York ISO (NYISO) |
63%* |
|
ISO-New England |
|
|
Southwest Power Pool (SPP) |
|
|
Pennsylvania-New Jersey-Maryland (PJM) |
45%** |
|
Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) |
|
|
Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO) |
|
|
California Independent System Operator (CAISO) |
*NYISO generation capacity as of June 23, 2025. Includes 22.79% natural gas and 40.28% dual fuel (power produced by facilities capable of using natural gas and/or other fossil fuels).
**PJM generation capacity as of June 23, 2025.
In recent years, gas plant retirements have outpaced new capacity construction – a trend experts expect to continue.
In 2024, for example, only one industrial sector CCGT power generator came online (a 98 MW addition to the existing power plant at Plaquemines LNG plant), while 2.4 GW of capacity was slated for retirement.
In 2025, an additional 2.6 GW of natural gas capacity is expected to close, with 62% coming from two steam turbine plants nearing the end of their operational life:
Source: US Energy Information Administration, Preliminary Monthly Electric Generator Inventory, December 2024
Additionally, the Tennessee Valley Authority’s (TVA) Johnsonville station will retire 16 SCGT units, which were commissioned in 1975, removing 754 MW of capacity.
Bringing a new gas-fired power plant online typically takes 12 to 48 months, depending on plant type, capacity, location, regulatory complexity, and grid interconnection timelines. Supply chain challenges, particularly delays in gas turbine deliveries, have slowed development. Despite these challenges, recent years have seen substantial growth in gas-fired generation capacity.
In 2024, the US more than doubled its gas-fired capacity in development.
Approximately 4.4 GW of new natural gas-fired capacity is expected to be commissioned in 2025. With more than 200 units in various stages of development, the country has the second-largest pipeline of gas-fired power plants globally.
Source: US Energy Information Administration, Preliminary Monthly Electric Generator Inventory, December 2024
Source: Yes Energy’s Infrastructure Insights showing gas-fired plants that began operating in 2025 or are in progress with 2025 reported in-service dates. Those still in early development are very unlikely to be completed in 2025.
Source: Yes Energy’s Infrastructure Insights data showing gas-fired plants with 2025 reported in-service dates by current status. Those still in early development are very unlikely to be completed in 2025.
The West and South are expected to see significant gas-fired capacity come online, with Utah’s 840 MW Intermountain Power Project and Lousian’s 678.7 MW Magnolia Plant being among the largest.
Source: Yes Energy’s Infrastructure Insights data showing gas-fired plants with reported in-service dates 2025-2030 by ISO and current status
Most new natural gas capacity in 2025 will come from simple-cycle (50%) and combined-cycle (36%) plants.
Natural gas-fired capacity is expected to grow through the end of the decade as utilities respond to surging demand from data centers, the transportation sector, and residential electrification.
Yes Energy’s Infrastructure Insights is currently tracking over 200 natural gas projects expected to come online between 2026 and 2030.
Source: Yes Energy’s Infrastructure Insights showing gas-fired plants 2026-2030
For energy traders and utilities, having clear visibility into the timing and location of new generation, transmission, and load center developments is essential for accurate market forecasting and effective infrastructure planning.
Yes Energy’s Infrastructure Insights tracks construction projects nationwide, delivering the critical data you need to make informed decisions. The solution visualizes key details such as project ownership, size, location, status, and timelines – offering actionable intelligence on upcoming shifts in supply and demand across the US grid.
Contact Yes Energy to schedule a demo and learn how Infrastructure Insights can improve your ability to make better business and trading decisions and drive more revenue.